Illinois vs Penn State 10/23/2021

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Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Illinois. Sean Clifford is averaging 310 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Noah Cain is projected for 75 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Illinois wins, Artur Sitkowski averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.46 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.66 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Jakari Norwood averages 64 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Illinois wins and 57 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 41% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -23 --- Over/Under line is 46.5
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